Financial conditions in the US

UNITED STATES

Lending to consumers

NEUTRAL standards
Number of Banks tightening lending standards on Card Loans (QoQ)Sep 16Jun 17Mar 18Dec 18Sep 19Jun 20Mar 21Dec 21Sep 22Jun 23Mar 24Dec 24Sep 25Jun 26-40%-20%20%40%60%
UNITED STATES

Lending to Corporates

TIGHTER Standards
Number of Banks tightening standards on Corporate Loans (QoQ)Sep 16Jun 17Mar 18Dec 18Sep 19Jun 20Mar 21Dec 21Sep 22Jun 23Mar 24Dec 24Sep 25Jun 26-20%20%40%60%
UNITED STATES

Financial conditions

VERY EASY
Apr 16Jan 17Oct 17Jul 18Apr 19Jan 20Oct 20Jul 21Apr 22Jan 23Oct 23Jul 24Apr 25Jan 26-0.8-0.6-0.4-0.20.2

Insights

CONCEPT

Financial Conditions summarize the current level of financial market stress, reflecting where interest rates, credit spreads, market volatility, FX and equity prices stand. Banks look at financial conditions to determine how easily households, firms and governments can access funding by adjusting lending standards (easier/tighter) to the current economic landscape (improving/deteriorating).

CURRENT READINGS
  • Financial Conditions in the US are VERY EASY (at -0.51) and have turned easier vs the previous week's average. The number of banks tightening lending standards vs past quarter on credit card loans is 2.0% - meaning that consumer lending standards are in NEUTRAL territory - while on corporate loans is 8.1%, translating into TIGHTER business lending standards.
MARKET IMPLICATIONS

Lending standards (= credit availability) follow the evolution of financial conditions. Easy financial conditions (below 0.15) with cause lending standards to turn easier, stimulating demand for mortgages/loans and ultimately supporting future economic growth: it means that consumers spend and companies invest. Conversely, tighter financial conditions (from 0.15/0.2) will cause standards to turn tighter, slowing mortgage/loan demand and ultimately contributing to slow-down the economic.